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Decision-Making Under Uncertainty: Risk Management Lessons I've Learned from Playing Chess

  • Writer: Dr. Arsham Mazaheri
    Dr. Arsham Mazaheri
  • Apr 4, 2023
  • 3 min read

In my free time, or when I want a quick break, I often play fast chess games like 3-minute blitz or 1-minute bullet matches on platforms such as chess.com or GameKnot. These brief distractions from my daily tasks help me refresh my mind and sometimes offer a new perspective on the problem at hand. More importantly, my blitz and bullet chess games have taught me valuable life lessons about strategy, decision-making, risk management, and fast thinking. One of the most profound lessons I've learned is the art of making (fast) decisions under uncertainty, which is crucial in both chess and life.

In chess, you don't need to know the endgame to make decisions (of course, it helps if you do, but I'm no expert in end games! 😉). Instead, you focus on making the best move possible with the current information at hand (i.e., the board situation, positions of the pieces, and of course, the remaining time). By consistently making these well-informed and good-at-the-time decisions, and with a pinch of good luck, you'll likely find yourself in a winning position at the end of the game. Also, when you do this repeatedly (I sometimes play up to 100 games per week! :p), you start to recognize patterns on the board that help you make better and faster decisions. Similarly, in real life, we often have to make (fast) decisions without full knowledge of what the future holds. Not recognizing the situation or not knowing the best decision can be scary or stressful.

Uncertainty can be both exciting and daunting, but it's an inevitable part of life. To navigate this, it's essential to embrace risk management thinking. This includes planning for the worst while hoping for the best and being prepared for situations where luck may not be on our side.

Here are a few takeaways from my chess games that may also help you improve your decision-making under uncertainty and risk management skills in real-life situations:

  1. Embrace uncertainty: Accept that you may not have all the information you'd like, and focus on making the best decision with what you have. This can reduce stress and lead to better choices, especially when you need to make fast decisions.

  2. Be flexible: Stay adaptable and ready to adjust your strategy as new information becomes available. The ability to pivot is crucial in both chess and real-life situations.

  3. Think long-term: While making decisions under uncertainty, consider the potential long-term implications of your choices as much as you can. Weigh the risks and rewards of each option to create a more robust strategy.

  4. Learn from experience: As you make more decisions under uncertainty, you'll become better at recognizing patterns and making educated guesses. Reflect on past experiences to improve your future decision-making.

  5. Plan for contingencies: As the saying goes, "plan for the worst, hope for the best." Build a risk management strategy that prepares you for various scenarios, so you're ready to face whatever comes your way. Depending on the available time for making the decision, you may not need to think about "black swans" in every situation, but just be prepared for the most probable scenarios and plan for them.

By applying these lessons from chess to our personal and professional lives, we can become more effective decision-makers under uncertainty and better at managing risks. In doing so, we can not only enhance our problem-solving skills but also increase our chances of success in the ever-evolving game of life!

 
 
 

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